Sunday, June 22, 2008

subsidize 24 million villa

I attended a meeting last week with a huge real estate company marketing represntative, it was something related to my work

the meeting lasts all day long
from 10.30 am to 5 pm
i went home with a terrible headache and wondering where am i exactly
all the way home i was telling myself (mohamed sobhy joke: morataby bekafiny we batbara3 belba2y lesadad dayon masr)
i know people differ in their extent of wealth
and in egypt lives couple of the most richest men on earth
and most of people can live (just live) in egypt in an above poverty (just above poverty) standard

BUT
and it's huge but
this statment was valid till 6 months ago
first i'll recall what i ve heared:
DAMAC company is making new projects in egypt to sell different real estate properties
- in a specific project (hyde park in cairo) the villa price is increasing weekly by 2%
- they didn't start digging yet, and they sold about 1000 villas
- they have a long waiting list for people who are waiting the next lot of villas to buy it
- the buyer are egyptians
- some villas are 24.000.000 LE
check what's written on the website



Spread across 4 million square meters, Hyde Park is the most exclusive villa development with Detached and Attached Villas nestled with a 1 million square meter landscaped park, the biggest private park in Egypt. Designed to suit multi-cultural tastes, the villa designs range from the Neo-Classical, Italian-Country to California-Spanish styles. Set atop beautiful vistas and surrounded by Egypt's natural beauty, your home will be amidst striking landscapes and beautiful water features. A gated community with several entrances, 24-hour security and controlled entry, living here is designed to give you total peace of mind and privacy.


NOW
it's totally healthy for the economic environement to have various standards of everything
low cost, average cost and high cost of every good
so similar projects are certainly required
what i'm wondering about is not the good, it's the buyer
if we put in mind that in the past 6 months, the economy were ruined by the gas and other goods high price increasing
AND more
the dollar interset is down to less then half
so any rich man who has 1 million dollars in the bank, he used to get more the 4% interest
meaning: 10000000*.04/12 =3.333$ monthly
but now the intersest is alomst 2%
so this means he now get 1.666$ monthly
and what makes egyptian economy a genuis record candidate is that
the dollar exchanging price is decreasing and the deposit interst tooo
it's an economical miracle because the interest rate should get up when the currency value get down and viseversa
that's not happening
so who owned 1000000$ 2 years ago he had 1000000*(5.7 to 7) LE and monthly income about 3.333$
but now he have 1000000 * (5.3 to 5.5) LE and monthly income about 1.666$
again people are loosing their wealth, value of their stocks
so who buys these A+++ real estate properties???????????????????
another question:
how many are they? projects like this are expanding more and more
now we have A+, A, B+, B standard real estate projects
it's good and healthy economically
but my question is? if the dollar deposit lost 50% of it's value, and the inflation is up by more then 30%
where all that money come from? and how ?
this makes me get to the next step
an important percentage of the egyptian people are wealthy enough to pay 2 to 24 million to buy a house
and they aren't counting on their money to live
but they share the governmental subsidize with us (the rest poor people)
if anyone from whom can afford even 2 million dollar house isn't using his share of subsidized bread, gas, .. etc
the rest who really need it will find it
the current economical situation is wrong
it's like a father who have 10 kids and one bread
and because he's a father he should give a fair share to every child so every child took 1/10 of a bread or a small bit
while 5 of his children have already eaten before and don't need more
and yet this creates another problem: who exactly needs the subsidize and who don't?
and what if someone today is declared rich and don't need a subsidize, and then another price increasing wave happens, will he be able to live without subsidize?
i believe in such communities (where a villa is worth 24 million ) no gas, water, electricity subsidize should apply, i mean people in these community should pay for electricity a bit higher then people in abies or nady elsaid (ابيس / نادى الصيد)

Friday, June 20, 2008

3arad mush marad


i have this friend that is 24/7 suffering from a sever headache

so she took some aspirine pills and go on with her life

i keep telling her "you should go see a doctor because headache is a Symptoms not an illness: meaning something else is wrong causing this terrible headache, once you know it and deal with it the headache will be gone"

but my friend keep ignoring me .... 3ady ya3ni

although she knows i'm right

WELL

it's not just her it's the community, the society, the nation, ....
we keep wasting our time and effort fight the symptoms not the illness itself

in the bread disaster we live in daily: creating a whole new system for bread distribution on every citizen using his ID >>>>>>>>> is fighting the symptoms not the illness
no bread because there are no wheat as simple as that

the new system will not create a new wheat field
the 30% raise is an obvious example on how dealing with the symptoms and not the illness.
giving the people 30% more income will not help, if inflation is way more then that and the total GNP is getting lower and lower.
it's not about having more banknote in our hands it's about the value of the banknote itself

the new traffic law is about "killing everything except the virus"
force people to pay fine for parking in the street ... while there are no garages
force the people to abandon the car older then 20 years ... while there are no obvious instruction on what exactly should we do with it

and more, how to buy new cars if i can't sell the old

etc............

even in our day to day life

we tend to take an aspirin instead of Antibiotic
make the pain stop without killing the cause of it

if i have a problem at work, i'll go out with my friend ..... just an aspirin to kill the pain
and not setting everything straight at work and make fights ... taking a Antibiotic to kill the virus

we all do this

even if we take Antibiotics, we use it more then necessary till we create another source of pain
it's a culture

Culture of Aspirin and not Antibiotic